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Economy

US PCE Inflation Surpasses 4%, Reinforcing Expectations for a Fed Rate Hike

Ahmad Elbasioni Jun 25, 2026
The US Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index, the Federal Reserve’s preferred measure of inflation, rose to 4.1% year-over-year in May, up from an unrevised 3.8% in April, matching market expectations. The latest reading…
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Technical Outlook

Brent crude retreats to pre-conflict levels as improving supply conditions ease market concerns

Ahmad Elbasioni Jun 25, 2026
a { text-decoration: none; color: #464feb; } tr th, tr td { border: 1px solid #e6e6e6; } tr th { background-color: #f5f5f5; } Brent crude extended its decline in early Thursday trading, falling back to…
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Technical Outlook

AUD/USD extends its decline as rising expectations of a Federal Reserve rate hike continue to…

Ahmad Elbasioni Jun 24, 2026
AUD/USD extended its sharp decline for a second consecutive session, falling to its lowest level since early April as the Australian dollar remained under heavy pressure from broad US dollar strength. Expectations that the Federal Reserve…
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Technical Outlook

The US dollar remains buoyed by growing expectations of a Federal Reserve interest rate increase.

Ahmad Elbasioni Jun 24, 2026
The dollar continues to trend higher and hit highest levels in over one year on Wednesday, moving in a steep bull-leg that extends into sixth consecutive day. Growing bets of Fed rate hike (currently at 72% for September rate hike vs 45%…
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Technical Outlook

EUR/GBP has fallen to a fresh multi-month low, although strong support around the 0.8600 area…

Ahmad Elbasioni Jun 24, 2026
EUR/GBP slid to its lowest level since 15 August 2025 on Wednesday, extending its bearish run as the pair tested the key support zone around 0.8610, a multi-month higher base that has repeatedly contained downside pressure. The cross…
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Economy

UK Services Sector Weakens Further as June PMI Signals Faster Contraction

Ahmad Elbasioni Jun 23, 2026
a { text-decoration: none; color: #464feb; } tr th, tr td { border: 1px solid #e6e6e6; } tr th { background-color: #f5f5f5; } Data released on Tuesday showed that the UK's services sector, the largest…
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Technical Outlook

Crude retreats as markets price in potential progress in peace negotiations.

Ahmad Elbasioni Jun 22, 2026
Brent crude dropped nearly $4 on Monday as initial concerns over stalled peace negotiations, which triggered a gap higher at the weekly open, gave way to a more optimistic tone following comments from senior U.S. officials. The renewed…
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Technical Outlook

GBPUSD – The bearish outlook faces increasing resistance at the 2026 low

Ahmad Elbasioni Jun 22, 2026
Cable remains under pressure near its 2026 low at 1.3159 (posted on March 31), with last Friday’s low and trendline support converging at 1.3163, following news of UK Prime Minister Starmer’s resignation. The pound continues to face…
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Technical Outlook

GOLD – Downtrend Resumes After Brief Recovery, Key Supports Back in Focus

Ahmad Elbasioni Jun 19, 2026
Gold remains under pressure for a third consecutive session and is on track to post its third straight weekly loss, weighed down by renewed strength in the U.S. dollar and the Federal Reserve’s increasingly hawkish policy…
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Technical Outlook

USDJPY Nears Key Highs as Markets Watch for Possible Official Intervention

Ahmad Elbasioni Jun 19, 2026
USD/JPY remains firmly bid on Friday, consolidating above the 161.00 level after Thursday’s sharp advance carried the pair to 161.80, just shy of the four-decade high at 161.95 recorded in June 2024. The pair continues to draw support from…
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