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Economy

US core inflation rises in July – PCE

Ahmad Elbasioni Aug 29, 2025
The Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index, the Federal Reserve’s preferred gauge of inflation, increased by 0.2% m/m in July, easing from a 0.3% gain in June and in line with forecasts. On an annualized basis, the PCE Price…
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Technical Outlook

Gold extends gains above $3400, US inflation data in spotlight

Ahmad Elbasioni Aug 28, 2025
Gold held a firm tone on Thursday, breaking through the critical $3400 resistance zone (psychological / Aug 8 peak) and trading at its highest level in nearly three weeks. Bullish momentum is being fueled by heightened uncertainty…
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Technical Outlook

Dollar Index – recovery extends as bulls test critical resistances

Ahmad Elbasioni Aug 27, 2025
The dollar index strengthened on Wednesday, hitting a weekly high and showing resilience despite renewed political turmoil at the Federal Reserve following President Trump’s dismissal of Governor Cook. Fresh upside momentum brought the…
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Technical Outlook

BTC/USD – bearish pressure persists while price remains under cloud base

Ahmad Elbasioni Aug 26, 2025
BTC/USD is consolidating after a sharp three-day selloff of more than 6%, largely driven by heavy institutional selling. The pair briefly rebounded from a six-week low earlier today, though the upside remains limited, highlighting…
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Technical Outlook

Gold rises amid heightened uncertainty following Trump’s firing of Fed Governor

Ahmad Elbasioni Aug 26, 2025
Gold climbed to a two-week high on Tuesday, lifted by a fresh wave of risk aversion after President Trump’s decision to dismiss Fed Governor Cook deepened market uncertainty. The move underscores Trump’s renewed tensions with US…
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Technical Outlook

BTCUSD – bears back in control though key support remains resilient

Ahmad Elbasioni Aug 25, 2025
BTC/USD extended losses for a third consecutive session on Monday, retesting key supports at 11370 (100DMA / 50% retracement of 98182–124558) and 11072 (daily Ichimoku cloud base), after erasing Friday’s post-Powell rally and sliding to its…
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Technical Outlook

WTI extends rebound on supply concerns and fading optimism over peace talks

Ahmad Elbasioni Aug 25, 2025
WTI crude extended its recovery into a fourth consecutive session, gaining fresh momentum on Monday after renewed supply concerns emerged following Ukrainian attacks on Russian oil facilities. Rising geopolitical tensions and bleak…
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Technical Outlook

US Dollar Index – temporary stabilization ahead of possible renewed downside pressure

Ahmad Elbasioni Aug 25, 2025
The dollar index steadied on Monday after nearly a 1% slide on Friday, its sharpest daily drop since Aug 1, triggered by unexpectedly dovish remarks from Fed Chair Powell at the Jackson Hole symposium. The greenback tumbled as Powell…
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Technical Outlook

Dollar–yen recovers momentum following recent drop

Ahmad Elbasioni Aug 25, 2025
USD/JPY edged higher in early Monday trade, recovering part of Friday’s nearly 1% drop that followed dovish remarks from Fed Chair Powell. Friday’s losses were cushioned by the rising 55-day moving average at 146.60, which has been…
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Economy

Economic activity in Germany weakens sharply in second quarter

Ahmad Elbasioni Aug 22, 2025
Germany’s economy contracted by 0.3% in the second quarter of 2025 compared with the previous three months, according to revised figures released by the federal statistics office on Friday. The new data showed a sharper decline than the…
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